Published Report

Weighted results using AEMO's official model weights. Non-RoCoF reliability metrics blend High (10%), Sampled (80%), and Low (10%). RoCoF reserves use the RoCoF model at 100%.

Model Weights

Weighted USE / LOLP

Weighted LOLP Timeline

Weighted USE Timeline

Top Weighted USE Days

Weighted Annual USE

Weighted Reserves (Non-RoCoF)

LOFP Summary by Reserve Class

LOFP Timeline (Weighted)

Top Shortage Days (Non-RoCoF, Weighted)

Peak Demand (All Scenarios)

All three demand scenarios overlaid -- no weighting applied. Each line represents a different model's peak demand forecast.

RoCoF Reserves

RoCoF model at 100% weight. Shows loss-of-frequency probability and shortage events for the RoCoF reserve class.

Weighted Constraint Violations

Top binding constraints across the horizon, weighted by model. Shows constraints with headroom below 100%.